At one level throughout final Saturday’s midday viewing window, 28.5-point underdog Navy led Cincinnati 10-7, 38.5-point underdog Kansas led Oklahoma 10-Zero and 24.5-point underdog Illinois tied Penn State 10-10 within the fourth quarter. Illinois was the one underdog to comply with via and pull the upset, and it took 9 overtimes to get there.
Illinois proved to be the largest canine to get the win final week. In 54 video games, there have been 16 upsets, together with three of 20-point spreads or extra. Along with Illinois, Rice was a 24-point canine to UAB and gained, and New Mexico pulled off a win towards Wyoming as a 20-point underdog.
Right here on the Underdog Problem, we’re charged with the tough activity of recognizing these upsets earlier than they occur. The competition works as follows — every knowledgeable picks three upsets per week. If an knowledgeable picks an upset appropriately, he will get the quantity of factors that workforce was an underdog.
Listed here are our standings after eight weeks.
On to the upsets.
Odds courtesy FanDuel.com
Invoice Bender, Lead school soccer author
Temple (+10.5) vs. UCF
Temple hasn’t been constant this season, however the Owls are 2-1 at house. That included an in depth win towards Memphis. UCF is 0-Three on the street this season underneath first-year coach Gus Malzahn. It should be a wet Saturday in Philadelphia, too. Temple pulls an upset.
Iowa (+3.5) at Wisconsin
This can be a powerful one for the Hawkeyes on the street. Wisconsin has gained 4 of the final 5 conferences, and each groups have strong defenses. It should come all the way down to which quarterback makes the fewest errors, and we predict Iowa comes up with the game-changing turnover right here. The Hawkeyes retake management of the Massive Ten West.
Virginia (+2.5) at BYU
Bronco Mendenhall makes his return to Provo in what ought to be a late-night traditional. The Cavaliers are on a four-game profitable streak, and their offense is constructed for a sport that ought to rating within the 30s. It is going to be shut, however search for Virginia to tug this one out within the fourth quarter.
Mike DeCourcy, Senior author
UCLA (+6.5) at Utah
No, I don’t know who’ll be quarterback for the Bruins at this level. Anybody needs to assist me out on that, be happy. What I do know is that Ethan Garbers’ efficiency in his cameo on the finish of the Oregon sport makes me really feel as comfy and assured as one can in a landing underdog (presumably) taking part in with its backup quarterback. The Bruins confirmed some ingenuity early and resilience late in shedding to the Geese. They’ve the power to win this sport.
No. Eight Michigan State (+4.5) vs. No. 6 Michigan
Am I actually purported to go up an undefeated house workforce in a rivalry sport when the competition payoff can be this beneficiant? Sorry, perhaps the entire thing is designed to attract me in, however I’ve to trip with it. I do know the Spartans shouldn’t have a very dynamic offense and can do every part they will to make this sport a torpid, low-possession, low-scoring sport. A minimum of the celebration might be entertaining, if Sparty can pull this off.
West Virginia (+6.5) vs. No. 22 Iowa State
What we actually want is Bob Huggins to get entangled in making an attempt to develop the Faculty Soccer Playoff. This might accomplish two gadgets that might profit school athletics. First, the individuals concerned within the CFP could be frightened sufficient to take heed to him; he is usually a scary man. Second, this may distract him from his mission to wreck the NCAA Match and switch it into the Class 5A championship.
Invoice Trocchi, Senior editor
No. Eight Michigan State (+4.5) vs. No. 6 Michigan
You aren’t a university soccer fan in case you aren’t counting the hours til this one kicks off. The groups have nearly similar level differentials of their three frequent opponents (Rutgers, Nebraska and Northwestern), and MSU has that spiffy blowout at Miami on its resume. Each operating video games are superior, however the Spartan benefit is at QB, the place Payton Thorne ranks second within the Massive Ten in passing effectivity and Cade McNamara is ninth. Add within the house subject benefit and we should always have a Sparty get together.
Miami (+9.5) at No. 17 Pittsburgh
Taking a giant swing right here. Mike DeCourcy called for a ‘Pitting’ a week early. Quarterback Kenny Pickett is the darling of school soccer after he mentioned he was celebrating the Clemson win with ‘a chilly one’ on nationwide TV final week. However Miami is quietly bettering, taking part in Virginia, UNC and NC State to inside three factors the final three video games. A blah midday ambiance at Heinz Discipline following the large Clemson win may very well be in retailer. Canes steal one.
Virginia Tech (+4.5) at Georgia Tech
One other workforce who is healthier than you suppose is Virginia Tech. The Hokies led Notre Dame by eight within the fourth quarter earlier than shedding on the ultimate play, led Syracuse by 9 within the fourth quarter earlier than shedding within the remaining minute and misplaced to West Virginia by six after having a first-and-goal on the three within the remaining minutes. You might be what you’re, however VT is near being 6-1. Add a splash of ‘win one for the new seat Coach’ and you’ve got a recipe for an upset.
Zac Al-Khateeb, Content material producer
Navy (+10.5) over Tulsa
Navy is 1-5 this season, although not for an absence of effort by the Midshipmen: Ken Niumatalolo’s squad misplaced in single-possession video games to No. 24 SMU (31-24) and to No. 2 Cincinnati (27-20) during the last three weeks. Each these groups are higher than Tulsa, which is 3-Four on the season. The Golden Hurricanes have come on sturdy of late with consecutive wins over Memphis and South Florida, and took a well-timed bye in Week Eight to arrange for the triple-option. However we’ve seen groups flounder towards it many times, with extra time to arrange. The Midshipmen proper the ship.
No. 10 Ole Miss (+2.5) over No. 18 Auburn
Ole Miss vs. Auburn is the premier battle of the SEC in Week 9. The Rebels and Tigers characteristic frustratingly artistic dual-threat quarterbacks in Matt Corral and Bo Nix, respectively, so it figures to be an offensive-oriented battle. It’s cliche, however the workforce whose quarterback performs higher will probably be the victor. To that finish, search for Corral (1,913 passing yards, 15 touchdowns, one interception, 493 speeding yards and 9 extra scores) to outperform Nix (1,488 passing yards, eight touchdowns, two interceptions, 149 speeding yards, two scores) in an in depth Rebels victory.
North Carolina (+3.5) over No. 11 Notre Dame
These groups have been powerful to determine in 2021. North Carolina had ACC championship aspirations that rapidly fell to earth amid a 4-Three season, and 6-1 Notre Dame hasn’t regarded practically as proficient because it did in 2020. Once more, I’m going with the workforce with the higher quarterback: UNC’s Sam Howell. He isn’t having the season he had final yr, however nonetheless has 1,851 passing yards and 18 touchdowns to 6 interceptions via seven video games, plus 494 speeding yards and 5 extra scores. He ought to assist lead the upset towards a Notre Dame secondary with out security Kyle Hamilton.